„One sees, from this Essay, that the theory of probabilities is basically just common sense reduced to calculus; it makes one appreciate with exactness that which accurate minds feel with a sort of instinct, often without being able to account for it.“

—  Пьер-Симон Лаплас, From the Introduction to Théorie Analytique des Probabilités http://visualiseur.bnf.fr/Visualiseur?Destination=Gallica&O=NUMM-88764, second and later editions; also published separately as Essai philosophique sur les Probabilités (1814). Œuvres complètes de Laplace, tome VII, p. cliii, Paris: Gauthier-Villars, 1878-1912. Also reported as: ""The theory of probabilities is at bottom nothing but common sense reduced to calculus; it enables us to appreciate with exactness that which accurate minds feel with a sort of instinct for which ofttimes they are unable to account.""<!--- http://www-groups.dcs.st-and.ac.uk/~history/Quotations/Laplace.html ---> Or as: ""Probability theory is nothing but common sense reduced to calculation.""
Пьер-Симон Лаплас фото
Пьер-Симон Лаплас4
французский математик, физик и астроном 1749 - 1827
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