Эндрю Маршалл цитаты

Эндрю Маршалл — американский математик, стратегический аналитик Министерства обороны США. Предсказал ряд важных изменений в мире, включая распад СССР, повышение геополитической роли Китая и широкое использование робототехники в военных операциях. Wikipedia  

✵ 13. Сентябрь 1921 – 26. Март 2019   •   Другие имена Andrew W. Marshall
Эндрю Маршалл фото
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Эндрю Маршалл: Цитаты на английском языке

“Any notion that you know what's going to happen, I think is, not going to work.”

Replying to a question "about what young people who want to enter his field should study", at a book talk centered around the Writings of Albert and Roberta Wohlstetter. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7Sonyg_CwGo
Контексте: Well I certainly second that, I think in addition, well I mean other things I've written suggest reading a lot of history, and uh, clearly one of the things you want people to understand is the uncertainty of things. I mean, how you really have to look at a variety of alternative futures. Any notion that you know what's going to happen, I think is, not going to work.

“While the group of real strategists at RAND probably never numbered more than about 25 people, the overall quality, in sheer intelligence and intellectual breadth, is simply astonishing.”

Remarking on RAND's group/council of grand strategy, Nuclear Heuristics: Selected Writings of Albert and Roberta Wohlstetter http://www.strategicstudiesinstitute.army.mil/pdffiles/PUB893.pdf, p. 101 (January 2009)

“Merely adding up all U. S. forces and comparing them with Soviet Forces, actual or potential, present or future, does not really tell one very much.”

Problems of Estimating Military Power, August 1966
Problems of Estimating Military Power (August 1966)